Things You Should Know About Neil Ferguson – The Man Advising the Government About the Coronavirus

Dr Vernon Coleman MB ChB DSc FRSA

I am no great fan of Neil Ferguson, who is professor of mathematical biology at Imperial College, London.

Ferguson appears to be the man behind Government policy. He believes that social distancing must be maintained indefinitely. And when he warns, the Government listens.

But look at his track record as summarised by Steerpike on The Spectator website:

1. In 2001, the Imperial team did the modelling on foot and mouth disease which led to a cull of six million sheep, pigs and cattle. The cost to the UK was around £10 billion. But the Imperial’s work has been described as `severely flawed’.
2. In 2002, Ferguson predicted that up to 50,000 people would die from mad cow disease. He said that could rise to 150,000 if sheep were involved. In the UK the death total was 177.
3. In 2005, Ferguson said that up to 200 million people could be killed by bird flu. The total number of deaths was 282 worldwide.
4. In 2009, Ferguson and his chums at Imperial advised the Government which, relying on that advice, said that swine flu would kill 65,000 people in the UK. In the end swine flu killed 457 people in the UK.

Finally, Ferguson has admitted that his model of the Covid 19 is based on undocumented 13-year-old computer code intended for use with an influenza epidemic.

No one seems to have questioned Ferguson’s work on Covid 19 – despite the fact that if he is wrong again (which I believe he is) the nation will be pushed back into the dark ages as a result of his work.

My critics (and there are a great many of them) might like to look at the list of accurate warnings and predictions I have made in the years gone by. The list is taken from my book How To Stop Your Doctor Killing You, which was first published in 1996 and the list appears on the second page of this website. I was the first author to write about the excessive power of the drug companies – in my book The Medicine Men in 1975. I was the only doctor to rightly judge that the Government’s warnings on AIDS were wild exaggerations. Summarised in my book The Health Scandal in 1988. I was vilified for that. I was the first doctor to warn that stress could cause massive harm to the human body, in my book Stress Control in 1977. I was vilified for that. I was the first doctor to warn about the demographic problems facing countries such as the UK. In The Health Scandal in 1988. I was the first doctor to warn about the danger of the benzodiazepines, in a series of articles and TV programmes in the 1970s and 1980s and in my book Life Without Tranquillisers (1985). I was vilified for that, though the Government eventually admitted that I was right and that they had changed their guidelines to doctors because of my articles. I was the first doctor to warn about the association between eating meat and cancer. See `Food for Thought’ which was first published in 1994. And so on and so on. I don’t think I am being immodest when I point out that my track record is a damned sight better than Ferguson’s.

Why the hell is the Government following Ferguson’s advice?

Copyright Vernon Coleman April 16th 2020